The New Zealand dollar lost two cents to sterling in a week that saw the Kiwi and the Aussie dollars extend their retreat from the record highs of February.

The pair actually did worse than the currency that was supposed to be under the cosh; the euro.

Investors’ disenchantment with the euro grew last week after it became increasingly likely that a change of government in Greece would deliver a prime minister determined to undo the bailout commitments promised by his predecessor.

His anti-austerity platform could mean an end to bailout payments from the EU, leading to a sovereign default and expulsion from the euro.

The worry is that disarray for the single currency would mean an economic downturn for Euroland that would have repercussions around the world, further dampening demand for the exports of Australia and New Zealand. For details on trading NZD markets see www.financialspreads.com.

In the forex markets the NZ dollar is now 10% off its February high against sterling and it could have further to fall.

Contracts for Difference Trading and Financial Spread Trading do involve a high level of risk. Investment formats such as these are margined which means that it is possible to lose more than your original stake.

You should always invest using capital that you can afford to lose; before making any trades make sure that you recognise the risk. Be aware that Contracts for Difference Trading and Spread Trading might not always be suitable for your trading strategy; where you think it is necessary obtain independent trading guidance.

Weekly forex review by MoneyCorp.

A sell-off in commodities got little reprieve on Friday, with oil prices plunging 4% to close below $100 a barrel for the first time since February.

Disappointing US jobs data was the main catalyst sparking a broad flight from risk.

The dollar remained strong for a fifth straight day, making it costlier for buyers using the euro and other currencies to purchase gasoline, copper and other dollar-denominated commodities.

The Labour Department reported that US employers cut back on hiring in April, although the jobless rate itself fell slightly as more people gave up looking for work.

Looking at the Spreadex prices, gold was one of the few markets that rose as some investors viewed the precious metal as a bet against further deterioration in the US economy.

The declining economy creates the opportunity for fresh stimulus measures and weaken the dollar, driving investors into gold.

Gold futures rose on Friday as investors selling crude oil and equities bought the metal after the weak US nonfarm payroll report boosted bullion’s investment appeal.

Bullion still finished down 0.6% for the week.

Gold has dropped $150 from a peak in late February after a strong run of US data cast serious doubts over whether the Federal Reserve would launch a third round of government bond purchases, or quantitative easing.

The above is a review of the commodities market for 30 Apr 12 to 4 May 12.

Contracts for Difference Trading and Financial Spread Trading do involve a high level of risk. Investment formats such as these are margined which means that it is possible to lose more than your original stake.

You should always invest using capital that you can afford to lose; before making any trades make sure that you recognise the risk. Be aware that Contracts for Difference Trading and Spread Trading might not always be suitable for your trading strategy; where you think it is necessary obtain independent trading guidance.

Market review by Pip Trade.

In currency spreads, US dollar did better than sterling but there was little to choose between them; just half a cent over the shortened six-day week.

Neither currency was at the focus of investor interest. That honour went to the euro; the dollar’s movements were reactive rather than proactive.

Investors saw nothing in the US economic data to persuade them that the previous week’s unexpectedly weak payrolls figure was symptomatic of a deeper problem.

Weekly jobless numbers were higher for initial claims, lower for continuing claims. The Federal Reserve’s Beige Book assessment of the national economy spoke of “modest to moderate” growth.

Inflation subsided to 2.7% in March, giving rise to renewed talk that the Fed might launch a third round of quantitative easing and add to the $2 trillion it has printed in the last four years.

Contracts for Difference Trading and Financial Spread Trading do involve a high level of risk. Investment formats such as these are margined which means that it is possible to lose more than your original stake.

You should always invest using capital that you can afford to lose; before making any trades make sure that you recognise the risk. Be aware that Contracts for Difference Trading and Spread Trading might not always be suitable for your trading strategy; where you think it is necessary obtain independent trading guidance.

Weekly forex review by MoneyCorp.

Sterling/euro ploughed an unusually straight furrow, hardly straying outside a three-quarter-cent channel.

Events took a new turn when the Far East opened for business this Monday morning and sterling’s fans made another attempt to dislodge the backlog of sellers who had been queuing to buy euros at January’s high.

As London opened it looked as though the job might have been done, with sterling apparently forming a base at €1.2150, but there was still no conclusive upward break.

FX spread trading investors are unhappy with the situation in Spain, where the government is finding it increasingly expensive to borrow money.

Even though the European Central Bank is likely to restart its buying of Eurozone government bonds (i.e. Spanish ones), more will be necessary to revive confidence fully.

In the meantime, sterling will have the chance to establish itself in a slightly higher range against the euro.

Whether it will take that opportunity remains to be seen.

Contracts for Difference Trading and Financial Spread Trading do involve a high level of risk. Investment formats such as these are margined which means that it is possible to lose more than your original stake.

You should always invest using capital that you can afford to lose; before making any trades make sure that you recognise the risk. Be aware that Contracts for Difference Trading and Spread Trading might not always be suitable for your trading strategy; where you think it is necessary obtain independent trading guidance.

Weekly forex review by MoneyCorp.

Another difficult week for the euro last week took GBP/EUR spreads close to their January high and to within two and a half cents of what is now the 41-month high it achieved in mid-2010.

A good part of that success was down to Sterling’s own efforts, notably the relatively strong UK purchasing managers’ index readings for the manufacturing, construction and services sectors.

They were all better than anything Euroland could show.

A negative for the euro was Spain’s disappointing auction of government bonds. Demand was poor and spread trading investors demanded a higher rate of interest.

The European Central Bank exacerbated the situation when its president told a press conference there would be no repeat of the Long Term Refinancing Operations that put cheap three-year money in the hands of the region’s banks.

Without fresh support the fear is that a buyers’ strike could push Spain down the path already trodden by Greece and Portugal.

Contracts for Difference Trading and Financial Spread Trading do involve a high level of risk. Investment formats such as these are margined which means that it is possible to lose more than your original stake.

You should always invest using capital that you can afford to lose; before making any trades make sure that you recognise the risk. Be aware that Contracts for Difference Trading and Spread Trading might not always be suitable for your trading strategy; where you think it is necessary obtain independent trading guidance.

Weekly forex review by MoneyCorp.

Unusually, the New Zealand dollar lost touch with the Australian dollar last week.

Where the Aussie was virtually unchanged over the eight days against Sterling when London opened after the long weekend, the Kiwi was two cents to the good.

Its superior performance almost certainly stems from the week’s economic data: Australia’s statistics were mediocre at best while New Zealand had no ecostats to offer at all, good or bad.

The low profile served the Kiwi well.

The only wobble came early this Tuesday morning when China unexpectedly reported a trade surplus for March.

Exports were up on the month and imports were down. FX spread trading investors inevitably interpreted the data as pointing to less demand in China for New Zealand’s exports.

Figures later this week will force the Kiwi out of hiding; the Quarterly Survey of Business Opinion and the Business NZ purchasing managers’ index are both important indicators of current and future activity.

Contracts for Difference Trading and Financial Spread Trading do involve a high level of risk. Investment formats such as these are margined which means that it is possible to lose more than your original stake.

You should always invest using capital that you can afford to lose; before making any trades make sure that you recognise the risk. Be aware that Contracts for Difference Trading and Spread Trading might not always be suitable for your trading strategy; where you think it is necessary obtain independent trading guidance.

Weekly forex review by MoneyCorp.

Euroland did not exactly cover itself with economic glory, even though the week got off to a decent start with improvements to IFO’s measures of the German business climate and expectations.

Eurostat’s assessments of industrial and economic confidence for the euro area as a whole were either unchanged or lower in March, while German retail sales headed lower for a fourth consecutive month.

Much was made of the EU finance ministers’ meeting at the end of the week. It was intended that they would agree to increase the Euroland bailout kitty but not every member state was equally enthusiastic.

In the end they committed to another half billion euros which would raise total bailout resources – spent and unspent – to more than a trillion euros.

It was roughly what online spread trading investors had expected and they had little difficulty in containing their enthusiasm, given that the pot is still too small to rescue Italy or Spain.

Contracts for Difference Trading and Financial Spread Trading do involve a high level of risk. Investment formats such as these are margined which means that it is possible to lose more than your original stake.

You should always invest using capital that you can afford to lose; before making any trades make sure that you recognise the risk. Be aware that Contracts for Difference Trading and Spread Trading might not always be suitable for your trading strategy; where you think it is necessary obtain independent trading guidance.

Weekly forex review by MoneyCorp.

The Loonie kept close tabs on the US dollar, with CAD/USD spending most of its time above parity with the Greenback and only dipping below par briefly last Thursday afternoon.

Elsewhere in the FX spread trading markets, the Loonie conceded just over a cent to the pound.

Canadian economic data were typically thin on the ground.

The industrial product and raw material price indices, akin to Britain’s producer price index, showed manufacturers’ costs falling by -0.5% in February while factory gate prices rose by 0.2%.

The implication is positive for the Canadian dollar, in that manufacturers feel able to raise prices even though their costs are not going up.

Gross domestic product grew by 0.1% in January, twice the pace of December’s increase.

Contracts for Difference Trading and Financial Spread Trading do involve a high level of risk. Investment formats such as these are margined which means that it is possible to lose more than your original stake.

You should always invest using capital that you can afford to lose; before making any trades make sure that you recognise the risk. Be aware that Contracts for Difference Trading and Spread Trading might not always be suitable for your trading strategy; where you think it is necessary obtain independent trading guidance.

Weekly forex review by MoneyCorp.

The euro has climbed to a three-week peak against the dollar as concerns about a slowdown in the euro zone ebbed, but the euro could reverse gains this week as bond auctions in Spain and Italy draw scrutiny.

Any sign of eroding confidence in the bonds of these peripheral countries could undermine the euro.

Economic data from Germany and a meeting of European finance ministers will also be key events for the week.

Euro zone finance ministers are moving closer to agreeing a combined rescue fund of around 700 billion euros ($924 billion) in Copenhagen this week and anything higher would probably be too ambitious, euro zone diplomats said in a recent report.

A larger euro zone rescue fund would go a long way toward reassuring markets a viable firewall is in place should Portugal, Italy or Spain continue to struggle.

In spread trading, the dollar is seen remaining supported by an improving economic landscape in the United States that contrasts starkly with European countries that are teetering on the brink of recession or are already in one.

In the contracts for difference markets, the greenback has gained more than 7% against the yen since the start of this year. The euro has jumped 9.8% versus the Japanese currency, with gains accelerating after the Bank of Japan, in a surprise move in February, initiated more quantitative easing.

The dollar’s rally in recent forex trading activity, however, has been tempered by the possibility the Federal Reserve could launch a third round of quantitative easing.

If the Fed starts more quantitative easing, it would be negative for the dollar, because it is tantamount to printing money and dilutes the greenback’s value.

CFDs and Financial Spread Trading do involve a high level of risk. Investment formats such as these are margined which means that it is possible to lose more than your original stake.

You should always invest using capital that you can afford to lose; before making any trades make sure that you recognise the risk. Be aware that CFDs and Spread Trading might not always be suitable for your trading strategy; where you think it is necessary obtain independent trading guidance.

The GBP/USD did not have much argument with one another, changing by less than quarter of a cent over the seven days and occupying the middle of the leader board.

A range of less than two cents suggested that investors have no quarrel with Sterling’s position in the upper reaches of the four-cent range it has occupied for two months.

There were no seriously important US economic data to provide guidance for the dollar.

Of the figures that did appear, at least half seemed to relate to residential property.

The NAHB housing market index, which measures building activity and orders, was steadily weak at 28% in March.

February’s housing starts and building permits were steady. New and existing home sales for the same month were disappointing though, down by -1.6% and -0.9% when both had been expected to rise.

In the week ahead spread trading investors will be focusing on a multitude of speeches by Federal Reserve bosses. If there seems to be any consensus among them for renewed quantitative easing, the dollar could feel the pinch.

Contracts for Difference Trading and Financial Spread Trading do involve a high level of risk. Investment formats such as these are margined which means that it is possible to lose more than your original stake.

You should always invest using capital that you can afford to lose; before making any trades make sure that you recognise the risk. Be aware that Contracts for Difference Trading and Spread Trading might not always be suitable for your trading strategy; where you think it is necessary obtain independent trading guidance.

Weekly forex review by MoneyCorp.

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